Tag Archives: #elections #polls #fiannafail #finegael #sinnfein #ireland

Poll Analysis

The Poll Average on 1st March 2023

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I’ve done a time-weighted analysis of the last five Polls and using a Count Simulator have projected the outcomes as follows….

PARTY
VOTE
+/-
SEATS
+/-
SINN FEIN
32%
+8
58
+21
FINE GAEL
22%
 +1
37
+2 
FIANNA FAIL
19%
-3
30
-8
GREENS
4%
-3
5
-7
LABOUR
4%
 
2
-4
Others
8%
8
-5
Inds
10%
-3
20
+1

CONTENTS

Methodology
Dublin
Leinster
Munster
Connaught-Ulster
Government Formation
Demographics
Previous Poll Averages
Main Points

Continue reading The Poll Average on 1st March 2023 →

Poll Analysis, Socio-Economic Analysis

The Poll Average on 1st February 2023

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I’ve done a time-weighted analysis of the last five Polls and using a Count Simulator have projected the outcomes as follows….

PARTY
VOTE
+/-
SEATS
+/-
SINN FEIN
32%
+8
61
+24
FINE GAEL
21%
 
35
 
FIANNA FAIL
19%
-3
33
-5
GREENS
4%
-3
2
-10
LABOUR
4%
 
4
-2
Others
9%
+1 
9
-4
Inds
11%
-2
16
-3

CONTENTS

Methodology
Dublin
Leinster
Munster
Connaught-Ulster
Government Formation
Demographics
Previous Poll Averages
Main Points

Continue reading The Poll Average on 1st February 2023 →