The new Wexford-Wicklow constituency

Wexford-Wicklow is a new constituency encompassing much of South Wicklow and North Wexford. It takes in much of the Arklow Electoral Area in Wicklow as well as the southern part of the Baltinglass Electoral Area, and in Wexford it takes in the whole of Gorey EA and parts of Enniscorthy and Kilmuckridge.

THE BIGGEST PARTIES PER DED IN 2020

2023WexfordWicklowBP

Approximately 60% of the votes in 2020 were cast in the Wexford constituency and 40% were cast in the Wicklow constituency. The three largest settlements (Arklow, Gorey and Courtown) are situated along the east coast; the rest of the constituency is overwhelmingly rural with a few small towns and villages such as Ferns, Carnew and Bunclody.

Interestingly,none of the ten TDs elected in the Wicklow and Wexford constituencies in 2020 are resident in the constituency – in fact only three of the thirty-five candidates in 2020 took a majority of their vote from within the boundaries of the new constituency.

The following table lists those candidates who took over 2,000 votes in this area OR took over half their vote here in 2020. %TV (Total Vote) refers to the percentage of each candidate’s 2020 vote that lies within the new constituency, while %Q (Quota) refers to what proportion of a new quota each candidate would achieve on their tally vote.

RELEVANT CANDIDATES

SURNAME PARTY CONST. TALLY %TV %Q
MYTHEN SF Wexford 5,401 30% 0.60
BYRNE FF Wexford 4,837 78% 0.54
BRADY SF Wicklow 4,794 29% 0.53
D’ARCY FG Wexford 4,235 64% 0.47
CASEY FF Wicklow 2,148 51% 0.24

The two Sinn Fein TDs each took over half a prospective quota in the new constituency, but in each case it was less than a third of their overall 2020 vote.

The table below details the party support in each of the former constituency blocs that make up the new constituency, and also the proportion of the tallied vote that each constituency bloc contains. For instance just under 60% of the vote in the new constituency was cast in Wexford in 2020 and Fianna Fail took nearly a third of the vote there.

Only parties with sufficient support in this constituency are afforded a  column. CONST stands for constituency and PROP for proportion.

PARTY SUPPORT

CONST PROP SF FF FG OTH IND
WEXFORD 59% 25.5% 32.1% 26.1% 11.2% 5.1%
WICKLOW 41% 32.2% 19.5% 24.4% 12.9% 11.0%
TOTAL 100% 28.3% 26.9% 25.4% 11.9% 7.5%

Each of the major parties would be likely to take a seat in this constituency. You would expect two of the three seats to come from Wexford but that might not necessarily happen, especially as the biggest town in the constituency lies in Wicklow.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *