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Kildare

The Carlow-Kildare Constituency

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Another interesting historical constiuency was the 4 seat Carlow-Kildare which existed from 1935-1947. It consisted of the whole of Kildare and North Carlow, South-east Carlow going into Wexford, and North-East into Wicklow.

Carlow-Kildare 1935

In each of the 4 elections (1937, 1943, 1944 and 1948) Fianna Fail took 2 seats, and Fine Gael and Labour 1 each – though Thomas Hayden of Labour was only 525 votes off taking the last seat from Francis Humphreys of Fianna Fáil in 1943.

In 1937, three o…f the TDs were from Kildare with only Francis Humphreys being based in Carlow. However in 1938, Carlow-based Fine Gael based candidate James Hughes narrowly ousted the Athy-based sitting Fine Gael TD Sydney Minch, and held his seat easily in 1943 and 1944. He died suddenly in early 1948 while addressing a meeting in Borris, County Carlow. Therefore there were 2 TDs each from Carlow and Kildare in 1938, and the same pattern persisted in 1943 and 1944.

2016 General Election, Cavan

THE POLL-TOPPERS IN CAVAN IN 2016

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Working on Cavan Maps for the 2016 General Election at the moment.

Here’s a sneak preview of the Poll-toppers.

CavanGeneral Elections 2016Cavan-MonaghanPollToppers

The fact that Heather Humphreys was the highest poller in Cootehill and surrounds goes a long way towards highlighting Fine Gael’s failure to manage their vote and keep their two seats.

Niamh Smyth polled strongly in Bailieborough and surrounding areas (most notably in Shercock), and this combined with a good showing in South Monaghan just about managed to get her over the line ahead of Joe O’Reilly of Fine Gael.

Kathryn Reilly topped the poll in Ballyjamesduff and in Cavan town – but failed to make the anticipated breakthrough.

Brexit, United Kingdom

Brexit – The Age Breakdown

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A lot has been written about a “Divided Britain” in the wake of the Brexit vote – about sharp schisms of opinion between the young and the old, the Middle-Class and the Working-Class, the Financially Stable and the Financially Precarious, the Highly-educated and the Poorly-educated etc. There is definitely truth inasmuch as the Polling data definitely points towards such.

Brexit Age 1

However, taking the differing turnout rates – in as much as we can estimate them – throws up a more nuanced picture. Continue reading Brexit – The Age Breakdown →

2016 General Election, Donegal, Maps

MACLOCHLAINN OUT OF LUCK – OR VOTES? (pt 2)

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Overall the two Dohertys took around 4100 of the 9600 Sinn Fein votes in the old Donegal North-East (the Google Earth screenshot below shows Padraig Maclochlainn’s share of the Sinn Fein vote in the old Donegal North East) – by contrast MacLochlainn only took 200 of the 10200 party votes in the old Donegal South-West. A case could be made that Pearse Doherty’s significant national media presence might explain his getting votes in t…he old Donegal North-East, but surely – given his similarly prominent media presence – you would then expect MacLochlainn to be picking up a noticeable tally of votes across the old Donegal South-West. Continue reading MACLOCHLAINN OUT OF LUCK – OR VOTES? (pt 2) →

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MACLOCHLAINN OUT OF LUCK – OR VOTES? (pt 1)

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Looking at the Donegal maps, they only serve to emphasise that Thomas Pringle owes his seat in great part to a strategic blunder by Sinn Fein – namely not realising the weakness of Padraig MacLochlainn.

The total Sinn Fein vote was actually up slightly from 2011 in the old Donegal Nth-East – from 25% to 26%. The problem was that a lot of it – 43% of it – didn’t go to MacLochlainn.

MacLochlainn 1

Continue reading MACLOCHLAINN OUT OF LUCK – OR VOTES? (pt 1) →