Tag Archives: #pollanalysis

The Poll Average on the 1st November 2022

I’ve done a time-weighted analysis of the last five Polls and using a Count Simulator have projected the outcomes as follows….

PARTY
VOTE
+/-
SEATS
+/-
SINN FEIN
36%
+11
67
+30
FINE GAEL
21%
 
34
-1
FIANNA FAIL
19%
-3
27
-11
GREENS
4%
-3
4
-8
LABOUR
5%
+1 
4
-2
Others
9%
 +1
11
-2
Inds
10%
-3
13
-6

 

CONTENTS

Methodology
Dublin
Leinster
Munster
Connaught-Ulster
Government Formation
Demographics
Previous Poll Averages
Main Points

Continue reading The Poll Average on the 1st November 2022