The poll average as of 7th December 2017 – and the likely number of seats gained by each party – is as follows :
| PARTY | VOTE | CHANGE | SEATS | CHANGE |
| FINE GAEL | 33% | +7% | 61 | +11 |
| FIANNA FAIL | 26% | +2% | 47 | +2 |
| SINN FEIN | 17% | +3% | 29 | +6 |
| LABOUR | 5% | -2% | 1 | -6 |
| LEFT | 2% | -2% | 4 | -6 |
| OTHERS | 17% | -8% | 16 | -7 |
NOTE : “Left” refers to combined votes and seats share for Solidarity-People Before Profit and Independents For Change.
Fine Gael see vote rises across the country but most strongly in Dublin and east of the Shannon. They are ahead in most provinces except in Munster, where Fianna Fáil are marginally ahead. Gains would be most likely in Dublin Bay North, Dublin Fingal, Dublin Mid-West, Dublin Rathdown, and Dublin South-West in Dublin, Kildare North and Longford-Westmeath in Leinster, Cork East, Kerry, Limerick City and Tipperary in Munster, and Cavan-Monaghan and Galway-Roscommon in Connaught-Ulster. By contrast they would lose a seat in Dun Laoghaire (where they currently hold 3 out of 4) and in Meath East (where they took 2 out of 3 last time with just over one-third of the vote).
Fianna Fáil also see their vote rise across the country, with the exception of Leinster where it remains essentially static. Gains would be most likely in Dublin Fingal, Dublin South-Central and Dun Laoghaire in Dublin, Cork Nth-Central and Galway West, offset by losses in Kildare North, Wicklow (which means returning to 1 seat – they currently hold 2 out of 5) and Cavan-Monaghan.
Sinn Féin see a small vote rise which is fairly well spread across the country. They are strongest in Leinster and weakest in Munster. Gains would be most likely in Dublin West, Longford-Westmeath, Meath East, Wexford, Tipperary and Galway West.
Labour see a slight fall in their vote which could – given their precarious nature of many of their seats – reduce their Dáil presence even further.
The Left-wing parties would see a reduction in their vote and number of seats, but given the highly concentrated and personalised nature of their support, it is entirely possible that it is being under-estimated.
You can read the full report here