USA latest Presidential Poll Average

The current Poll Average in the US Presidential Election shows Biden nearly 7% ahead of Trump. An election held on these figures would suggest that Biden would take 337 votes and Trump 201.

polldraw USA Overall 25th Aug 2020

The following states and districts which Trump won last time would flip to Biden : Michigan, Pennsylvania, Florida, Wisconsin, Ohio, Arizona and Nebraska 2nd.

A big caveat is that Trump remains competitive in all of the states listed above (ie he’s less than 5% behind Biden) so theoretically he could win the Electoral Vote despiting losing the Popular Vote by 2 or 3%.

STATE ECVs 2016 VOTE 25th August SWING
OVERALL CLINTON +2% BIDEN +7% BIDEN +2½%
Iowa 6 TRUMP +9½% TRUMP +2% BIDEN +3½%
Texas 38 TRUMP +9% TRUMP +1% BIDEN +4%
Ohio 18 TRUMP +8% BIDEN +½% BIDEN +4½%
Georgia 16 TRUMP +5% TRUMP +1% BIDEN +2%
North Carolina 15 TRUMP +3½% TRUMP +1½% BIDEN +1%
Arizona 11 TRUMP +3½% BIDEN +½% BIDEN +2%
Nebraska #2 1 TRUMP +2% BIDEN +2½% BIDEN +2½%
Florida 29 TRUMP +1% BIDEN +2% BIDEN +1½%
Wisconsin 10 TRUMP +1% BIDEN +2½% BIDEN +1½%
Pennsylvania 20 TRUMP +½% BIDEN +3% BIDEN +2%
Michigan 16 TRUMP +<½% BIDEN +2½% BIDEN +1½%
New Hampshire 4 CLINTON +½% BIDEN +5% BIDEN +2½%
Minnesota 10 CLINTON +1½% BIDEN +3½% BIDEN +1%
Nevada 10 CLINTON +1½% BIDEN +6% BIDEN +2½%
Maine 10 CLINTON +3½% BIDEN +11% BIDEN +4%
Maine 10 CLINTON +5% BIDEN +9½% BIDEN +2½%

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