ANALYSIS OF POLLS ENDING 28TH APRIL TO 2ND MAY IN THE UK GENERAL ELECTION

The overall average (and seat totals) for the parties in the polls ending between April 22nd and 27th in the UK General Election were as follows :

CONSERVATIVES 46% 397 seats
LABOUR 30% 172 seats
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 9% 8 seats
UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY 7%
SCOTTISH NATIONALIST PARTY 4% 55 seats
PLAID CYMRU 1%
GREENS 2%

28th Apr to 2nd May Britain

The Conservatives are up 8 points since 2015 and would gain 67 seats. They would gains particularly amongst older voters, working-class voters and those voters in Wales. By contrast, the vote amongst younger voters has remained static.

Labour have held onto their younger vote – in fact they increase it, but lose amongst older voters. The Tories are ahead of them in every region bar the North.

The Liberal Democrats fare better amongst middle-class voters, and see a sizeable increase in London – but less elsewhere. 5 out of every 6 Liberal Democrats are Remain voters.

As many 2015 UKIP voters now say they are going to vote Conservative as say the will remain with UKIP. They do best amongst working-class voters. 5 out of every 6 UKIPers are Leave voters.

The SNP hold fairly firm, losing just 1 seat.

You can read the report here : UK Apr 28 to May 2

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *