The overall average (and seat totals) for the parties in the first five polls conducted in the UK General Election were as follows :
CONSERVATIVES | 48% | 455 seats |
LABOUR | 25% | 115 seats |
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS | 11% | 11 seats |
UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY | 7% | |
SCOTTISH NATIONALIST PARTY | 4% | 51 seats |
PLAID CYMRU | 1% |
The Conservatives are up 10 points since 2015, and would gain 125 seats. They would gains particularly amongst older voters, working-class voters and those voters in Wales. By contrast, the vote amongst younger voters has remained static.
Labour have held onto their younger vote, but lose amongst middle-aged and particularly older voters. Their vote has fallen badly in Wales, and has fallen further in Scotland. The Tories are ahead of them in every region – only in London and the North do they come close.
The Liberal Democrats fare better amongst middle-class voters, and see a sizeable increase in London – but less elsewhere.
As many 2015 UKIP voters now say they are going to vote Conservative as say the will remain with UKIP. They do best amongst working-class voters.
You can read the report here : UK Apr 18 to Apr 21 NEW